ISA style Pensions Tax Relief Reform doesn’t make good fiscal sense long-term
19 November 2015
If you read between the lines of the 23-page document
there is no doubt that the Treasury is worried about the
rising cost of its annual pensions tax relief give-away
that is increasing exponentially with Auto-Enrolment
bringing so many more employees into pensions savings.
Since 2009/10 the Government has seen a jump in the tax
relief it has paid out from about £30bn to nearer £35bn
last year. However if you include relief on both Income
Tax and National Insurance Contributions (NICs), the
government forwent nearly £50 billion in the 2013/14 tax
You could also argue that the current pensions tax regime is in inequitable as higher rate taxpayers get much more benefit from tax exemptions than lower income basic rate taxpayers as contributions go into their pensions. And yet, when they come to withdraw these savings, they are generally taxed at the basic rate of 20 per cent once their incomes have fallen steeply in retirement. This inequity, as detailed in The Institute of Fiscal Studies (IFS) savings tax reform study and also reinforced by thinking from the Centre of Policy Studies (CPS) is clear. To fix this Michael Johnson at the CPS has long-campaigned for a pension tax regime to be switched from the current Exempt-Exempt-Taxed system (or EET) to the Taxed-Exempt-Exempt (TEE) system of tax payment mirroring the system used for ISAs.
But after a great deal of deliberation the IFS concluded that the current EET system should be retained but that this should be accompanied by “the removal of the excessively generous and distorting treatment of employer contributions (i.e. allowance of NIC relief in addition to income tax relief on pensions contributions). The IFS report adds: “The tax-free lump sum is an odd method of providing an additional incentive for saving in a pension.” The IFS favours replacing TFC with a reduction in tax rate paid on pension withdrawals. The ABI favours moving to a simpler but perhaps less generous flat tax relief regime or ‘saver’s bonus’ based on 25 to 33 per cent of contributions. TISA have even gone as far as to cost a saver’s bonus at 33% and found it to be eminently affordable.
So now that all the options are on the table what will the Chancellor decide to do? We all expected an announcement from him on this in his Autumn Statement last month but it didn’t come. Still there is no doubt George Osborne will be looking again at pensions tax relief changes over the next month or so as he will need to determine how much new money is likely to be coming into the Treasury before he finalises his spending plans in time for the spring Budget on 16th March 2016.
If he succumbs to the ‘dash for pensions cash’ by reaching for the nuclear option of TEE, I believe the changes may look good for the Treasury in the short-term but longer-term it will spell disaster for future governments, the UK plc as well as the next generation of retirees. Worse, it opens the door for future governments (in yet another fiscal tightening cycle) deciding to go to a so-called ‘TET’ regime – taxing pensions savings on the way in and out – thereby killing them off for good.
I say this because pensions tax relief is THE key incentive for saving sensibly for retirement, just as Income Tax and NIC relief is one of the major incentives for employers to pay generously into workplace schemes. Pensions Tax Relief is what stimulates employees and employers alike to pay in and keep paying in throughout their working lives.
The current EET regime, which promises to tax savings as they are taken out, also serves to encourage savers to keep their money in for longer and not denude their pension pots too early. This brake on consumption in retirement has of course become a much more socially important issue since new Pension Freedoms regime offered over 55s the option of cashing out early without purchasing an annuity.
The result of keeping pots invested in pension funds is that these funds are effectively recycled into UK plc to enable businesses to invest for long-term growth. Healthy businesses of course provide greater security for their employees who can then keep paying into their pensions. Healthy corporate balance sheets also result in healthy corporation tax, income tax and NIC receipts. It is a virtuous circle which works for the wider health of the whole economy.
However, more importantly it put less future retirees in the unenviable position of relying on the new Universal State Pension for their core income in retirement. Now we know that the new flat rate State Pension will deliver £155.65 per week or about £22 per day when it starts next year; it ought to be the Government’s aim to ensure the smallest possible proportion of us are depending on that income alone in retirement. The more people who are depending on the State Pension alone, the more significant the problem of poverty in retirement becomes – the higher the knock-on costs on the state become.
Right now the UK is recovering well, the latest Office of Budget Responsibility numbers published alongside the Autumn Statement indicate that the Chancellor is still on track to eliminate net borrowing and begin accumulating by 2020/2021. With the economy and tax revenues in a better position than had been expected the Chancellor really doesn’t need to mount a raid on pension savings.
In addition, stronger investment in pension funds (partly stimulated by new auto-enrolment receipts) is now also benefitting UK-based businesses more than usual for several macro-economic reasons including recent doubts over China’s future growth prospects, poor economic outlook in some South American countries (most notably Brazil and Venezuela right now) and the relative value of Sterling against the US dollar. The money is piling into funds investing in UK companies right now. But we should not risk a reverse in fortunes by biting the hand that feeds the wider economy. We mess with the current UK pensions tax relief regime at our peril!
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