An industry-wide study that we commissioned in April 2011 found that both IFAs and pensions providers alike predict a strong future for the annuity market despite the imminent abolition of compulsory purchase of annuities aged 75. Over half of the sample of more than 120 IFAs we questioned (52%) think that the value of the annuity market will stay the same as it is today or grow in the future.
Providers are no less positive about the annuity market – 42% think the annuity market will remain at the same size while 6% think the market will grow. These findings seem illogical in view of the pension reform but we think they point to the beginning of a boom in the post-retirement market which annuities will benefit from. More interestingly, wrap platforms and Direct to Consumer (D2C) platforms may be best placed to take advantage of this boom. There are three major factors at work which lead us to this conclusion:
Firstly, and most obviously, is the much-discussed demographic time bomb. ‘Baby Boomers’ are retiring. The most significant and consistent rise in birth rates in the developed world in the last century was between 1946 and 1957. A person born in 1946 at the beginning of this boom is 65 years old this year and in most cases is looking to retire as soon as he or she can. Nearly 658,000 UK-based men and women will turn 65 this year, the largest number to reach that milestone in a single year since records began, according to the Department for Work and Pensions. Naturally a percentage of these will annuitise their pensions investments in the UK even if it is no longer compulsory by age 75.
Secondly, the voluntary nature of annuities combined with new capped, flexible drawdown options, we predict, actually provides a significant shot in the arm for the post-retirement market. Choice creates opportunity and engages retirees in making real retirement planning decisions which will influence the size of their bank balances and quality of life in retirement.
Finally, the improvement and subsequent proliferation of modeling, illustrations, calculations and general administration tools to help select the right options; makes wrap platforms uniquely well positioned to take advantage of an inevitable post-retirement bonanza. You only have to look at the Minimum Income Requirements (MIR) calculations demanded for flexible drawdown to realise the need for strong administration around these choices. Platforms can enable much more post-retirement business to be administered more quickly, and in compliance with tightening disclosure regulation, than was naturally possible before.
Some predict an emergence of different types of wraps addressing different parts of the market and based on our findings we would definitely predict success for platform providers focusing on the at and/or post-retirement market. .
There is even strong market demand for the Post-Retirement Wrap. The same survey found that 62% of IFAs think a range of annuities should be offered on platforms and said they would purchase them this way, on behalf of clients, if annuities were on platform; while more than two thirds (68%) of providers thought moving annuity purchase onto platform was a good idea.
The findings suggest that IFAs are perhaps already seeing an opportunity to specialise in helping a growing group of customers in post-retirement. If IFAs can migrate customers onto the wraps that are already geared up for this segment of the market it will be able to serve many more retirees more profitably and successfully because they will be able to provide the flexibility and service levels that they are looking
There is a clear opportunity for current and even new entrant wrap platforms and D2C platforms, to position themselves as comprehensive, blended post-retirement service providers, supporting a growing group of semi- and fully-retired people. Many of these people will want to actively manage their investments working with IFAs or alone. Shares, commercial property, annuities and drawdown options can all be handled from one single wrap. Indeed we may see the Post-Retirement Wrap emerging as at least as strong a niche as the employee-focused Corporate Wrap which has dominated industry discussion in recent months.
